Stock Analysis

Veidekke (OB:VEI) sheds kr898m, company earnings and investor returns have been trending downwards for past year

  •  Updated
OB:VEI
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It's easy to match the overall market return by buying an index fund. Active investors aim to buy stocks that vastly outperform the market - but in the process, they risk under-performance. For example, the Veidekke ASA (OB:VEI) share price is down 25% in the last year. That falls noticeably short of the market decline of around 1.1%. Zooming out, the stock is down 22% in the last three years. More recently, the share price has dropped a further 18% in a month. But this could be related to poor market conditions -- stocks are down 11% in the same time.

With the stock having lost 7.6% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.

Before we look at the performance, you might like to know that our analysis indicates that VEI is potentially undervalued!

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Unhappily, Veidekke had to report a 11% decline in EPS over the last year. The share price decline of 25% is actually more than the EPS drop. This suggests the EPS fall has made some shareholders are more nervous about the business.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
OB:VEI Earnings Per Share Growth October 2nd 2022

Dive deeper into Veidekke's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Veidekke's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Veidekke's TSR for the last 1 year was -21%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that Veidekke shareholders are down 21% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 1.1%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 4% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Veidekke better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Veidekke has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

We will like Veidekke better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on NO exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Veidekke is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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About OB:VEI

Veidekke

Veidekke ASA operates as a construction and property development company.

The Snowflake is a visual investment summary with the score of each axis being calculated by 6 checks in 5 areas.

Analysis AreaScore (0-6)
Valuation4
Future Growth4
Past Performance3
Financial Health5
Dividends3

Read more about these checks in the individual report sections or in our analysis model.

Excellent balance sheet and good value.