Does GrandVision NV.’s (AMS:GVNV) May Stock Price Reflect Its Future Growth?

Growth expectations for GrandVision NV. (ENXTAM:GVNV) are high, but many investors are starting to ask whether its last close at €20.52 can still be rationalized by the future potential. Below I will be talking through a basic metric which will help answer this question. See our latest analysis for GrandVision

Can we expect GVNV to keep growing?

Investors in GrandVision have been patiently waiting for the uptick in earnings. If you believe the analysts covering the stock then the following year will be very interesting. Expectations from 11 analysts are bullish with earnings forecasted to rise significantly from today’s level of €0.9 to €1.228 over the next three years. This results in an annual growth rate of 11.78%, on average, which signals a market-beating outlook in the upcoming years.

Is GVNV’s share price justifiable by its earnings growth?

As the legendary value investor Ben Graham once said, “Price is what you pay, value is what you get.” GrandVision is trading at price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 22.8x, which tells us the stock is overvalued based on current earnings compared to the specialty retail industry average of 17.25x , and overvalued compared to the NL market average ratio of 18.28x .

ENXTAM:GVNV PE PEG Gauge May 26th 18
ENXTAM:GVNV PE PEG Gauge May 26th 18

We already know that GVNV appears to be overvalued when compared to its industry average. But, seeing as GrandVision is perceived as a high-growth stock, we must also account for its earnings growth, which is captured in the PEG ratio. A PE ratio of 22.8x and expected year-on-year earnings growth of 11.78% give GrandVision a higher PEG ratio of 1.94x. This means that, when we account for GrandVision’s growth, the stock can be viewed as a bit overvalued , based on the fundamentals.

What this means for you:

GVNV’s current overvaluation could signal a potential selling opportunity to reduce your exposure to the stock, or it you’re a potential investor, now may not be the right time to buy. However, basing your investment decision off one metric alone is certainly not sufficient. There are many things I have not taken into account in this article and the PEG ratio is very one-dimensional. If you have not done so already, I urge you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Financial Health: Is GVNV’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.
  2. Past Track Record: Has GVNV been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of GVNV’s historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.