Stock Analysis

Epicon Berhad's (KLSE:EPICON) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

The market wasn't impressed with the soft earnings from Epicon Berhad (KLSE:EPICON) recently. Our analysis has found some reasons to be concerned, beyond the weak headline numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
KLSE:EPICON Earnings and Revenue History November 26th 2025
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Zooming In On Epicon Berhad's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to September 2025, Epicon Berhad recorded an accrual ratio of 0.27. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Even though it reported a profit of RM4.71m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through RM28m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of RM28m, this year, indicates high risk. Unfortunately for shareholders, the company has also been issuing new shares, diluting their share of future earnings.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Epicon Berhad.

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. In fact, Epicon Berhad increased the number of shares on issue by 5.5% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. Check out Epicon Berhad's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

A Look At The Impact Of Epicon Berhad's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Unfortunately, Epicon Berhad's profit is down 38% per year over three years. Even looking at the last year, profit was still down 65%. Sadly, earnings per share fell further, down a full 66% in that time. So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders.

If Epicon Berhad's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

Our Take On Epicon Berhad's Profit Performance

In conclusion, Epicon Berhad has weak cashflow relative to earnings, which indicates lower quality earnings, and the dilution means that shareholders now own a smaller proportion of the company (assuming they maintained the same number of shares). Considering all this we'd argue Epicon Berhad's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Be aware that Epicon Berhad is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis and 2 of those are a bit unpleasant...

Our examination of Epicon Berhad has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Epicon Berhad might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About KLSE:EPICON

Epicon Berhad

An investment holding company, engages in the operation of public transportation services in Malaysia.

Moderate risk with adequate balance sheet.

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