Stock Analysis

RedPlanet Berhad's (KLSE:RPLANET) Earnings Might Be Weaker Than You Think

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KLSE:RPLANET

RedPlanet Berhad (KLSE:RPLANET) posted some decent earnings, but shareholders didn't react strongly. Our analysis has found some concerning factors which weaken the profit's foundation.

View our latest analysis for RedPlanet Berhad

KLSE:RPLANET Earnings and Revenue History September 6th 2024

Examining Cashflow Against RedPlanet Berhad's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to June 2024, RedPlanet Berhad had an accrual ratio of 0.60. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of RM4.0m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of RM5.16m. We saw that FCF was RM7.8m a year ago though, so RedPlanet Berhad has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. Unfortunately for shareholders, the company has also been issuing new shares, diluting their share of future earnings. The good news for shareholders is that RedPlanet Berhad's accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of RedPlanet Berhad.

One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. In fact, RedPlanet Berhad increased the number of shares on issue by 6.9% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. Check out RedPlanet Berhad's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

How Is Dilution Impacting RedPlanet Berhad's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

Unfortunately, RedPlanet Berhad's profit is down 12% per year over three years. On the bright side, in the last twelve months it grew profit by 24%. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 19% over the same period. So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders.

In the long term, earnings per share growth should beget share price growth. So RedPlanet Berhad shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

Our Take On RedPlanet Berhad's Profit Performance

In conclusion, RedPlanet Berhad has weak cashflow relative to earnings, which indicates lower quality earnings, and the dilution means its earnings per share growth is weaker than its profit growth. Considering all this we'd argue RedPlanet Berhad's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, RedPlanet Berhad has 5 warning signs (and 3 which are a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.