Stock Analysis

Genetec Technology Berhad (KLSE:GENETEC) Analysts Are More Bearish Than They Used To Be

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KLSE:GENETEC

The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Genetec Technology Berhad (KLSE:GENETEC), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting analysts have soured majorly on the business.

After the downgrade, the consensus from Genetec Technology Berhad's dual analysts is for revenues of RM251m in 2025, which would reflect a chunky 15% decline in sales compared to the last year of performance. Statutory earnings per share are anticipated to dive 29% to RM0.07 in the same period. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of RM485m and earnings per share (EPS) of RM0.15 in 2025. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a sizeable cut to revenue estimates and a pretty serious decline to earnings per share numbers as well.

Check out our latest analysis for Genetec Technology Berhad

KLSE:GENETEC Earnings and Revenue Growth August 27th 2024

The consensus price target fell 7.4% to RM3.75, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading analyst valuation estimates.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We would highlight that sales are expected to reverse, with a forecast 12% annualised revenue decline to the end of 2025. That is a notable change from historical growth of 32% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 14% annually for the foreseeable future. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Genetec Technology Berhad is expected to lag the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Genetec Technology Berhad's revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. With a serious cut to next year's expectations and a falling price target, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were becoming wary of Genetec Technology Berhad.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have analyst estimates for Genetec Technology Berhad going out as far as 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies backed by insiders.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.