Stock Analysis

We Think That There Are Some Issues For YLI Holdings Berhad (KLSE:YLI) Beyond Its Promising Earnings

Published
KLSE:YLI

The recent earnings posted by YLI Holdings Berhad (KLSE:YLI) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.

Check out our latest analysis for YLI Holdings Berhad

KLSE:YLI Earnings and Revenue History September 5th 2024

Zooming In On YLI Holdings Berhad's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to June 2024, YLI Holdings Berhad recorded an accrual ratio of 0.46. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of RM12.8m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through RM49m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of RM49m, this year, indicates high risk.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of YLI Holdings Berhad.

Our Take On YLI Holdings Berhad's Profit Performance

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that YLI Holdings Berhad didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that YLI Holdings Berhad's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. The silver lining is that its EPS growth over the last year has been really wonderful, even if it's not a perfect measure. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing YLI Holdings Berhad at this point in time. For example, YLI Holdings Berhad has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of YLI Holdings Berhad's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.