Stock Analysis

Investing in El Puerto de Liverpool. de (BMV:LIVEPOLC-1) three years ago would have delivered you a 85% gain

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BMV:LIVEPOL C-1
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By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. Just take a look at El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:LIVEPOLC-1), which is up 75%, over three years, soundly beating the market return of 43% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 18% in the last year , including dividends .

Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

View our latest analysis for El Puerto de Liverpool. de

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During three years of share price growth, El Puerto de Liverpool. de achieved compound earnings per share growth of 12% per year. This EPS growth is lower than the 21% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did three years ago. It's not unusual to see the market 're-rate' a stock, after a few years of growth.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
BMV:LIVEPOL C-1 Earnings Per Share Growth March 24th 2023

We know that El Puerto de Liverpool. de has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? If you're interested, you could check this free report showing consensus revenue forecasts.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, El Puerto de Liverpool. de's TSR for the last 3 years was 85%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that El Puerto de Liverpool. de has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 18% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 1.8% per year over five years. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. Is El Puerto de Liverpool. de cheap compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

We will like El Puerto de Liverpool. de better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Mexican exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether El Puerto de Liverpool. de is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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