Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Orbia Advance Corporation. de (BMV:ORBIA) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

BMV:ORBIA *
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ORBIA) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

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What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Orbia Advance Corporation. de

What Is Orbia Advance Corporation. de's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Orbia Advance Corporation. de had US$4.28b in debt in March 2022; about the same as the year before. However, it also had US$970.5m in cash, and so its net debt is US$3.31b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BMV:ORBIA * Debt to Equity History June 12th 2022

A Look At Orbia Advance Corporation. de's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Orbia Advance Corporation. de had liabilities of US$2.95b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$4.93b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$970.5m in cash and US$1.87b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$5.04b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's US$4.94b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.6, Orbia Advance Corporation. de uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 7.2 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Orbia Advance Corporation. de has boosted its EBIT by 85%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Orbia Advance Corporation. de's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Orbia Advance Corporation. de recorded free cash flow worth 79% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Happily, Orbia Advance Corporation. de's impressive EBIT growth rate implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its level of total liabilities. All these things considered, it appears that Orbia Advance Corporation. de can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Orbia Advance Corporation. de you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.