Does Orbia Advance Corporation. de (BMV:ORBIA) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ORBIA) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Orbia Advance Corporation. de
What Is Orbia Advance Corporation. de's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Orbia Advance Corporation. de had US$4.49b in debt in June 2022; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has US$898.4m in cash leading to net debt of about US$3.59b.
A Look At Orbia Advance Corporation. de's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Orbia Advance Corporation. de had liabilities of US$3.20b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$4.85b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$898.4m and US$1.93b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$5.22b.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's US$3.62b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Orbia Advance Corporation. de's net debt of 1.6 times EBITDA suggests graceful use of debt. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 7.9 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Orbia Advance Corporation. de has boosted its EBIT by 44%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Orbia Advance Corporation. de's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Orbia Advance Corporation. de recorded free cash flow worth 70% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
On our analysis Orbia Advance Corporation. de's EBIT growth rate should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. In particular, level of total liabilities gives us cold feet. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Orbia Advance Corporation. de's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Orbia Advance Corporation. de you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BMV:ORBIA *
Undervalued slight.
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