- Mexico
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- Basic Materials
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- BMV:GCC *
Investor Optimism Abounds GCC, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:GCC) But Growth Is Lacking
There wouldn't be many who think GCC, S.A.B. de C.V.'s (BMV:GCC) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.7x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Mexico is similar at about 13x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, GCC. de's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for GCC. de
How Is GCC. de's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like GCC. de's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 8.4%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 79% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 4.5% per annum as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 12% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it interesting that GCC. de is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Bottom Line On GCC. de's P/E
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of GCC. de's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for GCC. de with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
You might be able to find a better investment than GCC. de. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BMV:GCC *
GCC. de
Through its subsidiaries, produces, markets, and distributes cement, aggregates, ready-mix concrete, and other materials for the construction industry in Mexico and the United States.
Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.
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