When close to half the companies in Korea have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 14x, you may consider Posco International Corporation (KRX:047050) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 20.6x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Posco International as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Posco International
Is There Enough Growth For Posco International?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Posco International's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 31%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 41% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 21% per annum as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 19% growth each year, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.
With this information, we find it interesting that Posco International is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Posco International's P/E?
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Posco International currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Posco International has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Posco International, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.