Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Samick THK (KRX:004380) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way

Published
KOSE:A004380

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Samick THK Co., Ltd. (KRX:004380) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Samick THK

What Is Samick THK's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Samick THK had ₩193.5b of debt, up from ₩175.3b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had ₩22.2b in cash, and so its net debt is ₩171.2b.

KOSE:A004380 Debt to Equity History August 7th 2024

How Strong Is Samick THK's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Samick THK had liabilities of ₩228.5b due within a year, and liabilities of ₩27.9b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩22.2b and ₩83.6b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₩150.5b.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₩196.9b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 0.60 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.4 hit our confidence in Samick THK like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, Samick THK's EBIT was down 70% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Samick THK's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Samick THK burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Samick THK's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its net debt to EBITDA also fails to instill confidence. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Samick THK has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Samick THK has 4 warning signs (and 2 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.