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Investors Appear Satisfied With Nippon Concept Corporation's (TSE:9386) Prospects As Shares Rocket 27%
Nippon Concept Corporation (TSE:9386) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking further back, the 16% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
After such a large jump in price, Nippon Concept may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.2x, since almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios under 13x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
Nippon Concept hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Nippon Concept
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Nippon Concept's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 17% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 27% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 16% each year over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 8.5% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Nippon Concept is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Nippon Concept's P/E?
Nippon Concept shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Nippon Concept maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Nippon Concept with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Nippon Concept. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Nippon Concept might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:9386
Nippon Concept
Provides transportation services for various liquid cargoes and various gases in Japan and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet established dividend payer.
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