Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Iino Kaiun Kaisha, Ltd. (TSE:9119) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
What Is Iino Kaiun Kaisha's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2025, Iino Kaiun Kaisha had JP¥118.1b of debt, up from JP¥112.2b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had JP¥9.27b in cash, and so its net debt is JP¥108.8b.
How Healthy Is Iino Kaiun Kaisha's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Iino Kaiun Kaisha had liabilities of JP¥56.3b due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥100.8b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥9.27b as well as receivables valued at JP¥10.7b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling JP¥137.2b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of JP¥150.0b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
Check out our latest analysis for Iino Kaiun Kaisha
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Iino Kaiun Kaisha's net debt is 4.1 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. But its EBIT was about 1k times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. Shareholders should be aware that Iino Kaiun Kaisha's EBIT was down 36% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Iino Kaiun Kaisha can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Iino Kaiun Kaisha's free cash flow amounted to 40% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
Mulling over Iino Kaiun Kaisha's attempt at (not) growing its EBIT, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Iino Kaiun Kaisha has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Iino Kaiun Kaisha (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:9119
Iino Kaiun Kaisha
Engages in the shipping and real estate businesses in Japan and internationally.
Mediocre balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.
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