Positive Sentiment Still Eludes Hibino Corporation (TSE:2469) Following 34% Share Price Slump

Simply Wall St

Hibino Corporation (TSE:2469) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 34% share price drop in the last month. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 2.6% in the last year.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Hibino's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.6x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 13x and even P/E's above 19x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

Hibino certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

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TSE:2469 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 7th 2025
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How Is Hibino's Growth Trending?

Hibino's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 27%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 90% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 41% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 10% growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it odd that Hibino is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On Hibino's P/E

Hibino's recently weak share price has pulled its P/E below most other companies. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Hibino's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Hibino that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Hibino, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hibino might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.