Stock Analysis

Earnings Not Telling The Story For Bank of Innovation,Inc. (TSE:4393) After Shares Rise 29%

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TSE:4393

The Bank of Innovation,Inc. (TSE:4393) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 29%. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 6.8% isn't as impressive.

Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 13x, you may consider Bank of InnovationInc as a stock to avoid entirely with its 27.9x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Bank of InnovationInc over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Bank of InnovationInc

TSE:4393 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 2nd 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Bank of InnovationInc's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Bank of InnovationInc's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Bank of InnovationInc would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 71%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 10% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

In light of this, it's alarming that Bank of InnovationInc's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Bank of InnovationInc's P/E?

The strong share price surge has got Bank of InnovationInc's P/E rushing to great heights as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Bank of InnovationInc revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Bank of InnovationInc that you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Bank of InnovationInc. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Bank of InnovationInc might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.