The board of ARE Holdings, Inc. (TSE:5857) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥60.00 per share on the 3rd of June. This takes the annual payment to 4.0% of the current stock price, which is about average for the industry.
While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that ARE Holdings' stock price has increased by 39% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.
ARE Holdings' Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage
Solid dividend yields are great, but they only really help us if the payment is sustainable. Prior to this announcement, ARE Holdings' earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.
The next year is set to see EPS grow by 7.8%. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 52% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.
Check out our latest analysis for ARE Holdings
Dividend Volatility
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥30.00 in 2015 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥120.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 15% a year over that time. ARE Holdings has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.
The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. However, ARE Holdings has only grown its earnings per share at 4.3% per annum over the past five years. Growth of 4.3% per annum is not particularly high, which might explain why the company is paying out a higher proportion of earnings. This isn't necessarily bad, but we wouldn't expect rapid dividend growth in the future.
Our Thoughts On ARE Holdings' Dividend
Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 2 warning signs for ARE Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:5857
ARE Holdings
Engages in refining, manufacturing, and trading of precious metals and rare metals in Japan, Asia, and North America.
Proven track record average dividend payer.
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