- Japan
- /
- Metals and Mining
- /
- TSE:5444
Yamato Kogyo's (TSE:5444) earnings growth rate lags the 37% CAGR delivered to shareholders
When you buy a stock there is always a possibility that it could drop 100%. But on the bright side, if you buy shares in a high quality company at the right price, you can gain well over 100%. For instance, the price of Yamato Kogyo Co., Ltd. (TSE:5444) stock is up an impressive 282% over the last five years. On the other hand, the stock price has retraced 3.4% in the last week. However, this might be related to the overall market decline of 0.2% in a week.
Although Yamato Kogyo has shed JP¥19b from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
Over half a decade, Yamato Kogyo managed to grow its earnings per share at 18% a year. This EPS growth is lower than the 31% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Yamato Kogyo, it has a TSR of 383% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
A Different Perspective
We're pleased to report that Yamato Kogyo shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 18% over one year. That's including the dividend. However, that falls short of the 37% TSR per annum it has made for shareholders, each year, over five years. The pessimistic view would be that be that the stock has its best days behind it, but on the other hand the price might simply be moderating while the business itself continues to execute. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Yamato Kogyo better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Yamato Kogyo .
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Japanese exchanges.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:5444
Yamato Kogyo
Through its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of steel products in Japan and internationally.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.
Market Insights
Weekly Picks

ZenaTech: A big bet on the rise of AI drones and drones-as-a-service

A Wonderful Business at a Not-So-Wonderful Price
A1 A.K. Koh Group Berhad: A simple local food story that could ride on Visit Malaysia 2026
Priced for worse weather, but undervalued even for a high hurricane season
Recently Updated Narratives

Duolingo Inc. (DUOL): The "User-First" Pivot and the 100 Million DAU North Star

Fortinet Inc. (FTNT): Navigating the Firewall Refresh Cycle and the SASE AI Pivot
