The board of Tachikawa Corporation (TSE:7989) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 2nd of September, with investors receiving ¥17.00 per share. This will take the annual payment to 3.4% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.
Tachikawa's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Based on the last payment, Tachikawa was paying only paying out a fraction of earnings, but the payment was a massive 241% of cash flows. While the business may be attempting to set a balanced dividend policy, a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.
If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 0.05% over the next 12 months. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 39% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
See our latest analysis for Tachikawa
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥10.00 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥55.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 19% a year over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.
Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. However, Tachikawa's EPS was effectively flat over the past five years, which could stop the company from paying more every year. While EPS growth is quite low, Tachikawa has the option to increase the payout ratio to return more cash to shareholders.
Our Thoughts On Tachikawa's Dividend
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Tachikawa's payments are rock solid. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We don't think Tachikawa is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 2 warning signs for Tachikawa you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:7989
Tachikawa
Designs, manufactures, markets, sells, and installs various window covering products, centered around blinds and room partitions primarily in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.
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