Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Nippon Sharyo, Ltd. (TSE:7102) Even After 26% Share Price Boost
Despite an already strong run, Nippon Sharyo, Ltd. (TSE:7102) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 52%.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Nippon Sharyo's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.3x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 15x and even P/E's above 22x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Nippon Sharyo has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for Nippon Sharyo
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Nippon Sharyo's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 50% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 137% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 9.9% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Nippon Sharyo's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From Nippon Sharyo's P/E?
Nippon Sharyo's recent share price jump still sees its P/E sitting firmly flat on the ground. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Nippon Sharyo currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Nippon Sharyo (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Nippon Sharyo, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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Discover if Nippon Sharyo might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.