Tokuden Co., Ltd. (TSE:3437) will pay a dividend of ¥50.00 on the 10th of December. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 3.6%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.
Tokuden's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Tokuden is quite easily earning enough to cover the dividend, however it is being let down by weak cash flows. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.
Looking forward, EPS could fall by 1.9% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could be 36%, which we consider to be quite comfortable, with most of the company's earnings left over to grow the business in the future.
Check out our latest analysis for Tokuden
Tokuden Has A Solid Track Record
Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥35.00 in 2015 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥100.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 11% per annum over that time. It is good to see that there has been strong dividend growth, and that there haven't been any cuts for a long time.
Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve
Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. Unfortunately things aren't as good as they seem. Although it's important to note that Tokuden's earnings per share has basically not grown from where it was five years ago, which could erode the purchasing power of the dividend over time.
Our Thoughts On Tokuden's Dividend
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Tokuden's payments are rock solid. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 3 warning signs for Tokuden you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:3437
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record and pays a dividend.
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