With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.4x in the Auto Components industry in Japan, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Taiho Kogyo Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:6470) P/S ratio of 0.2x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
See our latest analysis for Taiho Kogyo
What Does Taiho Kogyo's Recent Performance Look Like?
The recent revenue growth at Taiho Kogyo would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. Perhaps the expectation moving forward is that the revenue growth will track in line with the wider industry for the near term, which has kept the P/S subdued. If not, then at least existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Taiho Kogyo's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Taiho Kogyo's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 4.9% last year. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 17% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 1.7% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it interesting that Taiho Kogyo is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From Taiho Kogyo's P/S?
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that Taiho Kogyo currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Taiho Kogyo (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.