The board of Eni S.p.A. (BIT:ENI) has announced that it will pay a dividend of €0.26 per share on the 26th of November. The payment will take the dividend yield to 6.1%, which is in line with the average for the industry.
Eni's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
We like to see a healthy dividend yield, but that is only helpful to us if the payment can continue. However, based ont he last payment, Eni was earning enough to cover the dividend pretty comfortably. However, with more than 75% of free cash flow being paid out to shareholders, future growth could potentially be constrained.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 125.7% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 52%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
See our latest analysis for Eni
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from €1.12 total annually to €1.00. The dividend has shrunk at around 1.1% a year during that period. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. It's encouraging to see that Eni has been growing its earnings per share at 19% a year over the past five years. With a decent amount of growth and a low payout ratio, we think this bodes well for Eni's prospects of growing its dividend payments in the future.
In Summary
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Eni's payments are rock solid. While Eni is earning enough to cover the dividend, we are generally unimpressed with its future prospects. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for Eni that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Is Eni not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BIT:ENI
Eni
Operates as an integrated energy company in Italy, Other European Union, Rest of Europe, the United States, Asia, Africa, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record and pays a dividend.
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