Banca Generali's (BIT:BGN) three-year total shareholder returns outpace the underlying earnings growth

By
Simply Wall St
Published
April 11, 2022
BIT:BGN
Source: Shutterstock

Banca Generali S.p.A. (BIT:BGN) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 12% in the last quarter. But over three years, the returns would have left most investors smiling To wit, the share price did better than an index fund, climbing 38% during that period.

While the stock has fallen 3.9% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.

See our latest analysis for Banca Generali

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Banca Generali was able to grow its EPS at 22% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. The average annual share price increase of 11% is actually lower than the EPS growth. Therefore, it seems the market has moderated its expectations for growth, somewhat. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 11.68.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
BIT:BGN Earnings Per Share Growth April 11th 2022

We know that Banca Generali has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think Banca Generali will grow revenue in the future.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Banca Generali, it has a TSR of 58% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Banca Generali has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 18% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 11% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Banca Generali better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Banca Generali has 2 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

We will like Banca Generali better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on IT exchanges.

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