JSW Energy's (NSE:JSWENERGY) earnings growth rate lags the 38% CAGR delivered to shareholders

By
Simply Wall St
Published
January 25, 2022
NSEI:JSWENERGY
Source: Shutterstock

It hasn't been the best quarter for JSW Energy Limited (NSE:JSWENERGY) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 19% in that time. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last half decade have been spectacular. In that time, the share price has soared some 382% higher! So we don't think the recent decline in the share price means its story is a sad one. But the real question is whether the business fundamentals can improve over the long term.

Although JSW Energy has shed ₹19b from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

View our latest analysis for JSW Energy

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During five years of share price growth, JSW Energy achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 2.7% per year. This EPS growth is lower than the 37% average annual increase in the share price. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth. This optimism is visible in its fairly high P/E ratio of 50.91.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth
NSEI:JSWENERGY Earnings Per Share Growth January 25th 2022

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. This free interactive report on JSW Energy's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, JSW Energy's TSR for the last 5 years was 409%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that JSW Energy shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 318% over one year. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 38% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand JSW Energy better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for JSW Energy that you should be aware of before investing here.

But note: JSW Energy may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on IN exchanges.

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