Earnings Not Telling The Story For Marinetrans India Limited (NSE:MARINETRAN)
Marinetrans India Limited's (NSE:MARINETRAN) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 34x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 27x and even P/E's below 15x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
For example, consider that Marinetrans India's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Marinetrans India
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Marinetrans India would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 32% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 82% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Marinetrans India is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Marinetrans India revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Marinetrans India (including 3 which are potentially serious).
If you're unsure about the strength of Marinetrans India's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:MARINETRAN
Marinetrans India
Provides transport management and freight-related services in India.
Slight risk with mediocre balance sheet.
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