Stock Analysis
Investors Appear Satisfied With Medico Remedies Limited's (NSE:MEDICO) Prospects As Shares Rocket 27%
Medico Remedies Limited (NSE:MEDICO) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 23% over that time.
After such a large jump in price, Medico Remedies may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 59.2x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 33x and even P/E's lower than 19x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
We'd have to say that with no tangible growth over the last year, Medico Remedies' earnings have been unimpressive. It might be that many are expecting an improvement to the uninspiring earnings performance over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Check out our latest analysis for Medico Remedies
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Medico Remedies will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Medico Remedies' Growth Trending?
Medico Remedies' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any earnings per share growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Although pleasingly EPS has lifted 341% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.
With this information, we can see why Medico Remedies is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
Medico Remedies' P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Medico Remedies revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its high P/E, given they look better than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Medico Remedies that we have uncovered.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Medico Remedies. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:MEDICO
Medico Remedies
Develops, manufactures, and sells pharmaceutical and nutraceutical products in India.