The board of Grasim Industries Limited (NSE:GRASIM) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ₹10.00 per share on the 25th of September. This means the dividend yield will be fairly typical at 0.4%.
Grasim Industries' Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage
We like to see a healthy dividend yield, but that is only helpful to us if the payment can continue. Based on the last payment, Grasim Industries was earning enough to cover the dividend, but free cash flows weren't positive. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.
EPS is set to fall by 36.1% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could be 31%, which we consider to be quite comfortable, with most of the company's earnings left over to grow the business in the future.
See our latest analysis for Grasim Industries
Dividend Volatility
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from ₹4.20 total annually to ₹10.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 9.1% over that duration. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Grasim Industries might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.
The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Grasim Industries has seen earnings per share falling at 3.8% per year over the last five years. If earnings continue declining, the company may have to make the difficult choice of reducing the dividend or even stopping it completely - the opposite of dividend growth.
Grasim Industries' Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. While Grasim Industries is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. To that end, Grasim Industries has 4 warning signs (and 2 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about. Is Grasim Industries not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.