Is DCM Shriram Limited's (NSE:DCMSHRIRAM) Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Fundamentals In Any Way?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
March 18, 2022
NSEI:DCMSHRIRAM
Source: Shutterstock

DCM Shriram's (NSE:DCMSHRIRAM) stock is up by a considerable 8.8% over the past week. As most would know, fundamentals are what usually guide market price movements over the long-term, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. Specifically, we decided to study DCM Shriram's ROE in this article.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

View our latest analysis for DCM Shriram

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for DCM Shriram is:

18% = ₹9.0b ÷ ₹49b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every ₹1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of ₹0.18.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

DCM Shriram's Earnings Growth And 18% ROE

To start with, DCM Shriram's ROE looks acceptable. Even when compared to the industry average of 16% the company's ROE looks quite decent. Despite the modest returns, DCM Shriram's five year net income growth was quite low, averaging at only 4.8%. We reckon that a low growth, when returns are moderate could be the result of certain circumstances like low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

As a next step, we compared DCM Shriram's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 20% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
NSEI:DCMSHRIRAM Past Earnings Growth March 18th 2022

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is DCMSHRIRAM fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is DCM Shriram Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

DCM Shriram's low three-year median payout ratio of 18% (or a retention ratio of 82%) should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth. This should be reflected in its earnings growth number, but that's not the case. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

In addition, DCM Shriram has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

Conclusion

On the whole, we do feel that DCM Shriram has some positive attributes. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a high ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. Our risks dashboard will have the 1 risk we have identified for DCM Shriram.

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