Subdued Growth No Barrier To Supreme Holdings & Hospitality (India) Limited (NSE:SUPREME) With Shares Advancing 25%

Supreme Holdings & Hospitality (India) Limited (NSE:SUPREME) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 25% share price jump in the last month. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

Since its price has surged higher, Supreme Holdings & Hospitality (India) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 53.4x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 27x and even P/E's lower than 15x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

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As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Supreme Holdings & Hospitality (India) over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Supreme Holdings & Hospitality (India)

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Supreme Holdings & Hospitality (India) will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Supreme Holdings & Hospitality (India)'s Growth Trending?

Supreme Holdings & Hospitality (India)'s P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 13%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 52% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Supreme Holdings & Hospitality (India) is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Supreme Holdings & Hospitality (India)'s P/E?

Shares in Supreme Holdings & Hospitality (India) have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Supreme Holdings & Hospitality (India) currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Supreme Holdings & Hospitality (India) you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Supreme Holdings & Hospitality (India)'s business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.