Stock Analysis

Titan Company Limited Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

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NSEI:TITAN

Shareholders might have noticed that Titan Company Limited (NSE:TITAN) filed its half-yearly result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 4.5% to ₹3,121 in the past week. Statutory earnings per share disappointed, coming in -30% short of expectations, at ₹7.93. Fortunately revenue performance was a lot stronger at ₹278b arriving 16% ahead of predictions. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

See our latest analysis for Titan

NSEI:TITAN Earnings and Revenue Growth November 8th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, Titan's 13 analysts currently expect revenues in 2025 to be ₹541.1b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to rise 6.1% to ₹38.79. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of ₹569.9b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹44.72 in 2025. The analysts seem less optimistic after the recent results, reducing their revenue forecasts and making a real cut to earnings per share numbers.

The analysts made no major changes to their price target of ₹3,699, suggesting the downgrades are not expected to have a long-term impact on Titan's valuation. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic Titan analyst has a price target of ₹5,001 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at ₹2,759. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that revenue is expected to reverse, with a forecast 1.3% annualised decline to the end of 2025. That is a notable change from historical growth of 24% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 14% annually for the foreseeable future. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Titan is expected to lag the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. On the negative side, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at ₹3,699, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Titan going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Titan (1 can't be ignored!) that you need to be mindful of.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Titan might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.