Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for NSEI:NOESISIND using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for
is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method. We use
analyst's estimates of cash flows going forward 5 years for the 1st stage, the 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.
NSEI:NOESISIND DCF 1st Stage: Next 5 year cash flow forecast
The current share price of
is above its future cash flow value.
Often investors are willing to pay a
for a company that has a high dividend or the potential for future growth.
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for
it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing
when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.
The amount the stock market is willing to pay for
is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Noesis Industries's earnings available for a low price, and how does
this compare to other companies in the same industry?
In this section we usually present revenue and earnings growth projections based on the consensus estimates of professional analysts to help investors understand the company’s ability to generate profit. But as Noesis Industries has not provided enough past data and has no analyst forecast, its future earnings cannot be reliably calculated by extrapolating past data or using analyst predictions.
This is quite a rare situation as 97% of companies covered by Simply Wall St do have past financial data. You can see them here.
Show me the analysis anyway
The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past
performance, by looking at estimated
and how much profit it is expected to make.
Future estimates come from
professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get
Expected Consumer Durables industry annual growth in earnings.
Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings
expected to grow at an
Unable to compare Noesis Industries's earnings growth to the low risk savings rate as no estimate data is available.
Growth vs Market Checks
Unable to compare Noesis Industries's earnings growth to the India market average as no estimate data is available.
Unable to compare Noesis Industries's revenue growth to the India market average as no estimate data is available.
Unable to determine if Noesis Industries is high growth as no earnings estimate data is available.
Unable to determine if Noesis Industries is high growth as no revenue estimate data is available.
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can
be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at
predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates
looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Noesis Industries's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the
industry? (1 check)
Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the
past 5 years? (1 check)
Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent
earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
has a total score of
0/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.
A company's financial position is much like your own financial position,
it includes everything you own
The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up
Noesis Industries's finances.
The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
Noesis Industries's short term (1 year) commitments are greater than its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
Noesis Industries's long term commitments exceed its cash and other short term assets.
This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of
Noesis Industries's finances. If any of them are yellow this
indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the
Liabilities and shares
The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
High level of physical assets or inventory.
Noesis Industries has negative shareholder equity (liabilities exceed assets) therefore debt is not covered by short term assets.
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t
however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest
on its debts this may have impacts in the future.
The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to
see the red area (debt) decreasing.
If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and
whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at
unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have
been around for and insider trading.
TENURE AS CEO
Mr. Prem Adip Rishi has been the Chairman and Managing Director of Noesis Industries Limited (formerly MVL Industries Limited) since April 1, 2009. Mr. Rishi has been Managing Director and Chairman of MVL Ltd. since August 1, 2012 and October 18, 2006 respectively and serves as its Director. He has an experience of over two decades in the business of Consumer Electronics products. He served with Ford Motors UK and EMI, two multinational of world renown. He is a science graduate.
Insufficient data for Prem to compare compensation growth.
Prem's remuneration is lower than average for companies of similar size in India.
Management Team Tenure
Average tenure of the
management team in years:
The tenure for the Noesis Industries management team is about average.
Chairman & MD
CFO & Executive Director
Board of Directors Tenure
Average tenure and age of the
board of directors in years:
The tenure for the Noesis Industries board of directors is about average.
Dilution Ahead For Noesis Industries Limited (NSE:NOESISIND) Shareholders?
Looking at Noesis Industries’s latest financial data, I will gauge when the company may run out of cash and need to raise more money. … How fast Noesis Industries runs down its cash supply over time is known as the cash burn rate. … Noesis Industries runs the risk of running down its cash supply too fast, or falling behind its profitable peers by investing too little.
Breaking Down Noesis Industries Limited's (NSE:NOESISIND) Ownership Structure
Insider Ownership Insiders form another group of important ownership types as they manage the company's operations and decide the best use of capital. … With this size of ownership, retail investors can collectively play a role in major company policies that affect shareholders returns, including executive remuneration and the appointment of directors. … Private Company Ownership Another important group of owners for potential investors in NOESISIND are private companies that hold a stake of 43.48% in NOESISIND.
Are Earnings Prospects Improving For Loss-Making Noesis Industries Limited's (NSE:NOESISIND)?
For Noesis Industries, its latest earnings (trailing twelve month) is -₹7.90M, which, in comparison to the prior year's level, has become less negative. … NSEI:NOESISIND Income Statement Mar 16th 18 We can further examine Noesis Industries's loss by looking at what the industry has been experiencing over the past few years. … Each year, for the past five years Noesis Industries has seen an annual decline in revenue of -86.67%, on average.
How Should You Think About Noesis Industries Limited's (NSE:NOESISIND) Risks?
View our latest analysis for Noesis Industries An interpretation of NOESISIND's beta Noesis Industries’s beta of 0.01 indicates that the company is less volatile relative to the diversified market portfolio. … Based on this beta value, NOESISIND appears to be a stock that an investor with a high-beta portfolio would look for to reduce risk exposure to the market. … As a result, this aspect of NOESISIND indicates a higher beta than a similar size company with a lower portion of fixed assets on their balance sheet.
Is Now The Time To Bet On The Retail Sector And Noesis Industries Limited (NSE:NOESISIND)?
Noesis Industries Limited (NSEI:NOESISIND), a IN₨20.54M small-cap, is a retail company operating in an industry which has experienced a structural shift in terms of digitalization, as well as the expected ups and downs of the economic cycle. … Today, I will analyse the industry outlook, and also determine whether Noesis Industries is a laggard or leader relative to its retail sector peers. … View our latest analysis for Noesis Industries What’s the catalyst for Noesis Industries's sector growth?
Is Noesis Industries Limited's (NSE:NOESISIND) CEO Pay Fair?
Therefore I will use earnings as a proxy of Rishi's performance in the past year. … NSEI:NOESISIND Past Future Earnings Jan 26th 18 Is NOESISIND overpaying the CEO? … Typically I would use earnings and market cap to account for variations in performance, however, NOESISIND's negative earnings reduces the effectiveness of this method.
Why Noesis Industries Limited's (NSE:NOESISIND) Investor Composition Impacts Your Returns
This size of ownership gives retail investors collective power in deciding on major policy decisions such as executive compensation, appointment of directors and acquisitions of businesses. … Private Company Ownership Potential investors in NOESISIND should also look at another important group of investors: private companies, with a stake of 33.50%, who are primarily invested because of strategic and capital gain interests. … As a result, potential investors should further explore the company's business relations with these companies and find out if they can affect shareholder returns in the long-term.What this means for you: Institutional ownership in NOESISIND is not at a level that would concern investors.
Noesis Industries Limited (NSE:NOESISIND)'s Earnings Grew 54%, Is It Enough?
Check out our latest analysis for Noesis Industries How Did NOESISIND's Recent Performance Stack Up Against Its Past? … Noesis Industries's most recent twelve-month earnings -₹7.8M, which, relative to the previous year's figure, has become less negative. … NSEI:NOESISIND Income Statement Dec 15th 17 Additionally, we can assess Noesis Industries's loss by looking at what’s going on in the industry on top of within the company.
Noesis Industries Limited does not have significant operations. Previously, it was involved in the manufacture of consumer electronic goods. The company was formerly known as MVL Industries Limited and changed its name to Noesis Industries Limited in January 2014. Noesis Industries Limited was incorporated in 1986 and is based in New Delhi, India.
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