Stock Analysis

Is Windsor Machines (NSE:WINDMACHIN) Using Too Much Debt?

NSEI:WINDMACHIN
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Windsor Machines Limited (NSE:WINDMACHIN) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Windsor Machines

How Much Debt Does Windsor Machines Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Windsor Machines had debt of ₹367.8m at the end of September 2020, a reduction from ₹506.8m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹82.6m, its net debt is less, at about ₹285.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:WINDMACHIN Debt to Equity History November 13th 2020

A Look At Windsor Machines's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Windsor Machines had liabilities of ₹1.67b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹1.08b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₹82.6m in cash and ₹231.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹2.44b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₹922.7m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Windsor Machines would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Windsor Machines will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year Windsor Machines had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 35%, to ₹2.3b. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Windsor Machines's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable ₹192m at the EBIT level. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. But we think that is unlikely since it is low on liquid assets, and made a loss of ₹329m in the last year. So while it's not wise to assume the company will fail, we do think it's risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Windsor Machines (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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