HEC Infra Projects Limited's (NSE:HECPROJECT) 27% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors
Despite an already strong run, HEC Infra Projects Limited (NSE:HECPROJECT) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 58% in the last year.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 27x, you may consider HEC Infra Projects as a stock to potentially avoid with its 36.6x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at HEC Infra Projects over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for HEC Infra Projects
Is There Enough Growth For HEC Infra Projects?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like HEC Infra Projects' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 22%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 938% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we can see why HEC Infra Projects is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the bourse.
The Key Takeaway
HEC Infra Projects' P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that HEC Infra Projects maintains its high P/E on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident earnings aren't under threat. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 4 warning signs for HEC Infra Projects (1 is concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than HEC Infra Projects. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if HEC Infra Projects might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.