Are Robust Financials Driving The Recent Rally In Cathay Pacific Airways Limited's (HKG:293) Stock?
Most readers would already be aware that Cathay Pacific Airways' (HKG:293) stock increased significantly by 14% over the past three months. Given the company's impressive performance, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely as a company's financial health over the long-term usually dictates market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Cathay Pacific Airways' ROE today.
Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.
How Is ROE Calculated?
ROE can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Cathay Pacific Airways is:
19% = HK$9.9b ÷ HK$52b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2025).
The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every HK$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated HK$0.19 in profit.
Check out our latest analysis for Cathay Pacific Airways
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
Cathay Pacific Airways' Earnings Growth And 19% ROE
To begin with, Cathay Pacific Airways seems to have a respectable ROE. Further, the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 17%. Consequently, this likely laid the ground for the impressive net income growth of 68% seen over the past five years by Cathay Pacific Airways. However, there could also be other drivers behind this growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.
We then compared Cathay Pacific Airways' net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 52% in the same 5-year period.
Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Cathay Pacific Airways''s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.
Is Cathay Pacific Airways Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
Cathay Pacific Airways' three-year median payout ratio is a pretty moderate 46%, meaning the company retains 54% of its income. By the looks of it, the dividend is well covered and Cathay Pacific Airways is reinvesting its profits efficiently as evidenced by its exceptional growth which we discussed above.
Additionally, Cathay Pacific Airways has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 51% of its profits over the next three years. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 16%.
Summary
In total, we are pretty happy with Cathay Pacific Airways' performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.