Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy Giordano International Limited (HKG:709) For Its Upcoming Dividend

By
Simply Wall St
Published
August 29, 2021
SEHK:709
Source: Shutterstock

Readers hoping to buy Giordano International Limited (HKG:709) for its dividend will need to make their move shortly, as the stock is about to trade ex-dividend. Typically, the ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date which is the date on which a company determines the shareholders eligible to receive a dividend. It is important to be aware of the ex-dividend date because any trade on the stock needs to have been settled on or before the record date. Meaning, you will need to purchase Giordano International's shares before the 3rd of September to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 17th of September.

The company's next dividend payment will be HK$0.065 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of HK$0.10 per share. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, Giordano International has a trailing yield of approximately 6.1% on its current stock price of HK$1.65. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. So we need to investigate whether Giordano International can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

See our latest analysis for Giordano International

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Giordano International distributed an unsustainably high 172% of its profit as dividends to shareholders last year. Without more sustainable payment behaviour, the dividend looks precarious. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. What's good is that dividends were well covered by free cash flow, with the company paying out 20% of its cash flow last year.

It's good to see that while Giordano International's dividends were not covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. If executives were to continue paying more in dividends than the company reported in profits, we'd view this as a warning sign. Very few companies are able to sustainably pay dividends larger than their reported earnings.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
SEHK:709 Historic Dividend August 30th 2021

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. With that in mind, we're discomforted by Giordano International's 22% per annum decline in earnings in the past five years. Such a sharp decline casts doubt on the future sustainability of the dividend.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Giordano International has seen its dividend decline 9.5% per annum on average over the past 10 years, which is not great to see. It's never nice to see earnings and dividends falling, but at least management has cut the dividend rather than potentially risk the company's health in an attempt to maintain it.

Final Takeaway

Is Giordano International an attractive dividend stock, or better left on the shelf? It's never great to see earnings per share declining, especially when a company is paying out 172% of its profit as dividends, which we feel is uncomfortably high. However, the cash payout ratio was much lower - good news from a dividend perspective - which makes us wonder why there is such a mis-match between income and cashflow. With the way things are shaping up from a dividend perspective, we'd be inclined to steer clear of Giordano International.

With that in mind though, if the poor dividend characteristics of Giordano International don't faze you, it's worth being mindful of the risks involved with this business. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Giordano International and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're in the market for dividend stocks, we recommend checking our list of top dividend stocks with a greater than 2% yield and an upcoming dividend.

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