China Overseas Property Holdings Limited's (HKG:2669) Stock Is Going Strong: Is the Market Following Fundamentals?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
October 29, 2021
SEHK:2669
Source: Shutterstock

China Overseas Property Holdings' (HKG:2669) stock is up by a considerable 8.4% over the past month. Since the market usually pay for a company’s long-term fundamentals, we decided to study the company’s key performance indicators to see if they could be influencing the market. Particularly, we will be paying attention to China Overseas Property Holdings' ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

Check out our latest analysis for China Overseas Property Holdings

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China Overseas Property Holdings is:

33% = HK$817m ÷ HK$2.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2021).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every HK$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn HK$0.33 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

China Overseas Property Holdings' Earnings Growth And 33% ROE

To begin with, China Overseas Property Holdings has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Second, a comparison with the average ROE reported by the industry of 9.2% also doesn't go unnoticed by us. Under the circumstances, China Overseas Property Holdings' considerable five year net income growth of 26% was to be expected.

As a next step, we compared China Overseas Property Holdings' net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 13%.

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:2669 Past Earnings Growth October 30th 2021

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if China Overseas Property Holdings is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is China Overseas Property Holdings Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

The three-year median payout ratio for China Overseas Property Holdings is 31%, which is moderately low. The company is retaining the remaining 69%. By the looks of it, the dividend is well covered and China Overseas Property Holdings is reinvesting its profits efficiently as evidenced by its exceptional growth which we discussed above.

Additionally, China Overseas Property Holdings has paid dividends over a period of six years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 30%. As a result, China Overseas Property Holdings' ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 36% for future ROE.

Conclusion

In total, we are pretty happy with China Overseas Property Holdings' performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a sizeable growth in its earnings. We also studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that the company's earnings growth is expected be similar to its current growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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