The board of China Motor Bus Company, Limited (HKG:26) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 17th of October, with investors receiving HK$0.30 per share. This payment means the dividend yield will be 3.6%, which is below the average for the industry.
China Motor Bus Company's Distributions May Be Difficult To Sustain
The dividend yield is a little bit low, but sustainability of the payments is also an important part of evaluating an income stock. China Motor Bus Company is not generating a profit, and despite this is paying out most of its free cash flow as a dividend. Paying a dividend while unprofitable is generally considered an aggressive policy, and with limited funds retained for reinvestment, growth may be slow.
Looking forward, earnings per share could 75.2% over the next year if the trend of the last few years can't be broken. This will push the company into unprofitability, which means the managers will have to choose between suspending the dividend, or paying it out of cash reserves.
Check out our latest analysis for China Motor Bus Company
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was HK$2.80, compared to the most recent full-year payment of HK$2.20. This works out to be a decline of approximately 2.4% per year over that time. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.
The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Over the past five years, it looks as though China Motor Bus Company's EPS has declined at around 75% a year. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The track record isn't great, and the payments are a bit high to be considered sustainable. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for China Motor Bus Company that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:26
China Motor Bus Company
Engages in the property development and investment activities in Hong Kong and the United Kingdom.
Flawless balance sheet with very low risk.
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