Here's Why We're Wary Of Buying Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings' (HKG:423) For Its Upcoming Dividend

By
Simply Wall St
Published
December 01, 2021
SEHK:423
Source: Shutterstock

Readers hoping to buy Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited (HKG:423) for its dividend will need to make their move shortly, as the stock is about to trade ex-dividend. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. The ex-dividend date is an important date to be aware of as any purchase of the stock made on or after this date might mean a late settlement that doesn't show on the record date. Accordingly, Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings investors that purchase the stock on or after the 6th of December will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 17th of December.

The company's next dividend payment will be HK$0.03 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of HK$0.09 per share. Calculating the last year's worth of payments shows that Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings has a trailing yield of 7.0% on the current share price of HK$1.29. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

View our latest analysis for Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings distributed an unsustainably high 153% of its profit as dividends to shareholders last year. Without more sustainable payment behaviour, the dividend looks precarious. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. It distributed 28% of its free cash flow as dividends, a comfortable payout level for most companies.

It's good to see that while Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings's dividends were not covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. If executives were to continue paying more in dividends than the company reported in profits, we'd view this as a warning sign. Very few companies are able to sustainably pay dividends larger than their reported earnings.

Click here to see how much of its profit Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings paid out over the last 12 months.

historic-dividend
SEHK:423 Historic Dividend December 1st 2021

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. With that in mind, we're discomforted by Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings's 15% per annum decline in earnings in the past five years. Such a sharp decline casts doubt on the future sustainability of the dividend.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings has seen its dividend decline 8.6% per annum on average over the past 10 years, which is not great to see. While it's not great that earnings and dividends per share have fallen in recent years, we're encouraged by the fact that management has trimmed the dividend rather than risk over-committing the company in a risky attempt to maintain yields to shareholders.

The Bottom Line

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings? It's not a great combination to see a company with earnings in decline and paying out 153% of its profits, which could imply the dividend may be at risk of being cut in the future. Yet cashflow was much stronger, which makes us wonder if there are some large timing issues in Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings's cash flows, or perhaps the company has written down some assets aggressively, reducing its income. It's not an attractive combination from a dividend perspective, and we're inclined to pass on this one for the time being.

So if you're still interested in Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings despite it's poor dividend qualities, you should be well informed on some of the risks facing this stock. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

If you're in the market for dividend stocks, we recommend checking our list of top dividend stocks with a greater than 2% yield and an upcoming dividend.

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