Natural Beauty Bio-Technology Limited's (HKG:157) Stock Financial Prospects Look Bleak: Should Shareholders Be Prepared For A Share Price Correction?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
April 19, 2021
SEHK:157

Most readers would already know that Natural Beauty Bio-Technology's (HKG:157) stock increased by 4.6% over the past three months. Given that the markets usually pay for the long-term financial health of a company, we wonder if the current momentum in the share price will keep up, given that the company's financials don't look very promising. In this article, we decided to focus on Natural Beauty Bio-Technology's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

Check out our latest analysis for Natural Beauty Bio-Technology

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Natural Beauty Bio-Technology is:

1.3% = HK$7.8m ÷ HK$611m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every HK$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated HK$0.01 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Natural Beauty Bio-Technology's Earnings Growth And 1.3% ROE

It is hard to argue that Natural Beauty Bio-Technology's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even when compared to the industry average of 9.0%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. For this reason, Natural Beauty Bio-Technology's five year net income decline of 48% is not surprising given its lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

However, when we compared Natural Beauty Bio-Technology's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 6.2% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:157 Past Earnings Growth April 20th 2021

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Natural Beauty Bio-Technology fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Natural Beauty Bio-Technology Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Natural Beauty Bio-Technology's declining earnings is not surprising given how the company is spending most of its profits in paying dividends, judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 96% (or a retention ratio of 3.9%). With only very little left to reinvest into the business, growth in earnings is far from likely. Our risks dashboard should have the 3 risks we have identified for Natural Beauty Bio-Technology.

Additionally, Natural Beauty Bio-Technology has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

Summary

On the whole, Natural Beauty Bio-Technology's performance is quite a big let-down. The low ROE, combined with the fact that the company is paying out almost if not all, of its profits as dividends, has resulted in the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. Until now, we have only just grazed the surface of the company's past performance by looking at the company's fundamentals. You can do your own research on Natural Beauty Bio-Technology and see how it has performed in the past by looking at this FREE detailed graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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