There May Be Some Bright Spots In Honliv Healthcare Management Group's (HKG:9906) Earnings

Shareholders appeared unconcerned with Honliv Healthcare Management Group Company Limited's (HKG:9906) lackluster earnings report last week. We think that the softer headline numbers might be getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:9906 Earnings and Revenue History October 6th 2025
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Examining Cashflow Against Honliv Healthcare Management Group's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to June 2025, Honliv Healthcare Management Group had an accrual ratio of -0.13. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥67m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥10.4m. Honliv Healthcare Management Group's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Honliv Healthcare Management Group.

Our Take On Honliv Healthcare Management Group's Profit Performance

Honliv Healthcare Management Group's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that Honliv Healthcare Management Group's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! Unfortunately, though, its earnings per share actually fell back over the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you'd like to know more about Honliv Healthcare Management Group as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example, we've found that Honliv Healthcare Management Group has 2 warning signs (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Honliv Healthcare Management Group's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Honliv Healthcare Management Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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mitchell_lawler
mitchell_lawler

When oil spikes, crude gets the attention. I think the boring refiner in the middle is where it gets interesting, and a record shows why.

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marcus_reid
marcus_reid

It's cyclical, but there's a hedging case. Worth being precise about it though. Refiners buy crude and sell products, so a crude spike alone hurts them. In 2008 oil hit 147 and refining margins collapsed. What they hedge is a product supply shock, not an oil one. This is what is happening now.

steve_investor
steve_investor

Goldman says the supply response has already started. Higher utilisation, yields shifted to diesel.

Andrew Legget

Great earnings season, but are the earnings real?

Great earnings season, but are the earnings real? cover
At first glance, this was the strongest earnings season in years. But when you look at where the growth actually came from, the story splits into two very different pictures.
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About SEHK:9906

Honliv Healthcare Management Group

Engages in the ownership, operation, and management of hospitals in the People’s Republic of China.

Excellent balance sheet with slight risk.

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