Revenues Not Telling The Story For Qinqin Foodstuffs Group (Cayman) Company Limited (HKG:1583) After Shares Rise 29%
Qinqin Foodstuffs Group (Cayman) Company Limited (HKG:1583) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 94%.
Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Qinqin Foodstuffs Group (Cayman) is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.1x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Food industry have P/S ratios below 0.6x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Qinqin Foodstuffs Group (Cayman)
How Has Qinqin Foodstuffs Group (Cayman) Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Qinqin Foodstuffs Group (Cayman)'s financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the benign revenue growth will improve to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Qinqin Foodstuffs Group (Cayman)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
Qinqin Foodstuffs Group (Cayman)'s P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 16% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 4.5% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is pretty similar based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this information, we find it interesting that Qinqin Foodstuffs Group (Cayman) is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends would weigh down the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Qinqin Foodstuffs Group (Cayman)'s P/S?
Qinqin Foodstuffs Group (Cayman)'s P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our look into Qinqin Foodstuffs Group (Cayman) has shown that it currently trades on a higher than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is only in line with the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Qinqin Foodstuffs Group (Cayman) (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Qinqin Foodstuffs Group (Cayman) might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.