Stock Analysis

How Investors Are Reacting To CNOOC (SEHK:883) Lower Revenue and Net Income for 2025

  • CNOOC Limited recently reported earnings for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, with revenue of CNY 312.50 billion and net income of CNY 101.97 billion, both lower than the previous year's results for the same period.
  • This marks a continued trend of year-over-year declines in both sales and net income, alongside reduced basic and diluted earnings per share from continuing operations.
  • We'll explore how these lower earnings and revenue figures may impact CNOOC's outlook and long-term investment narrative.

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CNOOC Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in CNOOC, you need to believe in the company's ability to sustain attractive returns through low-cost oil and gas production and steady project ramp-ups, even as global energy markets change. While the recent earnings decline reflects softer oil and gas prices, it does not materially impact the short-term catalyst of bringing new production online, though it does put a spotlight on the ongoing risk of price pressure and margin erosion. One of the most relevant recent announcements is the start of production at the Yellowtail Project in Guyana, which is expected to meaningfully increase output. This addition builds on CNOOC's core strength in rapid project delivery and could help support cash flows if commodity prices remain subdued. However, with net margins and earnings per share now trending lower, investors should keep in mind that... In contrast, any sustained decline in global prices or increased competition could quickly affect CNOOC’s revenue base, something all investors should be aware of.

Read the full narrative on CNOOC (it's free!)

CNOOC's outlook anticipates CN¥418.9 billion in revenue and CN¥134.5 billion in earnings by 2028. This relies on a 1.4% annual revenue growth rate and a CN¥6.8 billion earnings increase from current earnings of CN¥127.7 billion.

Uncover how CNOOC's forecasts yield a HK$22.46 fair value, a 8% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

SEHK:883 Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
SEHK:883 Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Simply Wall St Community members provided five fair value estimates for CNOOC, ranging from HK$7 to HK$64.55 per share. Views on growth and earnings reveal just how differently people are weighing risks like weaker net margins and the company’s ongoing project expansions, inviting you to consider the full spectrum of opinions on CNOOC’s prospects.

Explore 5 other fair value estimates on CNOOC - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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