Investors Don't See Light At End Of Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance Company Limited's (HKG:6866) Tunnel

By
Simply Wall St
Published
August 21, 2020
SEHK:6866

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 3x Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance Company Limited (HKG:6866) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios greater than 11x and even P/E's higher than 22x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

For instance, Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance

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SEHK:6866 Price Based on Past Earnings August 21st 2020
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Growth For Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance?

Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 5.0% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 12% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 12% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we are not surprised that Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Key Takeaway

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance that you need to be mindful of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20x (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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