Metaspacex (SEHK:1796) Losses Continue in H1 2026, Challenging Bullish Valuation Narratives
Metaspacex (SEHK:1796) has just delivered its H1 2026 results, posting revenue of HK$125.4 million and a basic EPS of -0.045 HKD. Looking back, the company saw first half revenue for 2025 at HK$138.5 million with basic EPS at -0.022 HKD, and second half 2024 revenue of HK$242.2 million, EPS -0.009 HKD. While losses have edged down over the past five years, profitability remains elusive and margins are still under pressure.
See our full analysis for Metaspacex.Up next, we’ll see how these headline numbers stack up against the community narratives, and where market assumptions may be tested.
Curious how numbers become stories that shape markets? Explore Community Narratives
Losses Narrow but Remain Substantial
- Net loss for the trailing twelve months was -HK$25.5 million, only a slight improvement compared to the prior year's -HK$32.2 million. This indicates ongoing but slow progress toward reducing losses.
- Market opinion stresses that while the business has cut its losses at a rate of 2.1% per year for five years, the trajectory has not yet flipped to profitability.
- The inability to turn a profit is highlighted by consistent negative net income every half-year, with the most recent period at -HK$21.7 million.
- Bears emphasize the risk that this slow trend may not be enough to satisfy investors, especially since industry peers achieve stronger margins and have turned profitable on far lower multiples.
Valuation Far Above DCF Fair Value
- Shares trade at HK$2.99, significantly above the DCF fair value estimate of HK$0.04 and at a price-to-sales ratio of 6.1x compared with an industry average of just 0.4x.
- Critics point to the sharp premium to sector multiples and fair value as a red flag, arguing that pricing is out of line with financial fundamentals.
- The valuation disconnect becomes more apparent when comparing the minimal loss reduction to the steep price premium over both the DCF fair value and industry benchmarks.
- Any upside from rebranding or potential strategy shifts remains speculative; fundamental improvement is needed to support a rerating.
For more on how valuation and sector context affect investor outlook, get the balanced take from our latest narrative. 📊 Read the full Metaspacex Consensus Narrative.
Margins Under Pressure Despite Revenue Base
- Net profit margins have not improved in the past year, staying firmly negative despite a still meaningful revenue base averaging around HK$235.5 million over the trailing twelve months.
- General market view acknowledges that steady or growing revenues are not translating into positive margins.
- The margin pressure underscores the challenge: revenue alone has not been sufficient to absorb costs, with net losses persisting across recent reporting periods.
- Peer companies in the industry achieve much lower price-to-sales ratios and stronger profitability, highlighting Metaspacex's need to demonstrate more than just topline consistency.
Next Steps
Don't just look at this quarter; the real story is in the long-term trend. We've done an in-depth analysis on Metaspacex's growth and its valuation to see if today's price is a bargain. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio now so you don't miss the next big move.
See What Else Is Out There
Metaspacex continues to trade at a premium despite ongoing losses, pressured margins, and limited progress toward profitability compared to sector peers.
If you want better fundamentals behind the price, consider searching for value in these 926 undervalued stocks based on cash flows, where companies are actually trading below what their cash flows suggest they're worth.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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