Stock Analysis

FSM Holdings Limited's (HKG:1721) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 39% Share Price Bounce

Published
SEHK:1721

FSM Holdings Limited (HKG:1721) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 39% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 43%.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking FSM Holdings is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.1x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Machinery industry have P/S ratios below 0.6x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for FSM Holdings

SEHK:1721 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 22nd 2023

What Does FSM Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at FSM Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on FSM Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is FSM Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, FSM Holdings would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 4.5%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 127% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 13% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that FSM Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the wider industry.

The Key Takeaway

FSM Holdings' P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

It's no surprise that FSM Holdings can support its high P/S given the strong revenue growth its experienced over the last three-year is superior to the current industry outlook. In the eyes of shareholders, the probability of a continued growth trajectory is great enough to prevent the P/S from pulling back. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for FSM Holdings (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that we have uncovered.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.