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Pinning Down Gek Terna S.A.'s (ATH:GEKTERNA) P/S Is Difficult Right Now
It's not a stretch to say that Gek Terna S.A.'s (ATH:GEKTERNA) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Construction industry in Greece, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.1x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Check out our latest analysis for Gek Terna
How Has Gek Terna Performed Recently?
Recent times haven't been great for Gek Terna as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Gek Terna will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Gek Terna?
Gek Terna's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 4.3%. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 116% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 3.5% per year over the next three years. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 5.1% per year.
With this in consideration, we think it doesn't make sense that Gek Terna's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining revenues are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
What Does Gek Terna's P/S Mean For Investors?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
While Gek Terna's P/S isn't anything out of the ordinary for companies in the industry, we didn't expect it given forecasts of revenue decline. With this in mind, we don't feel the current P/S is justified as declining revenues are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If we consider the revenue outlook, the P/S seems to indicate that potential investors may be paying a premium for the stock.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Gek Terna has 5 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ATSE:GEKTERNA
Gek Terna
Engages in the construction, energy, industry, real estate, and concession businesses in Greece, the Balkans, the Middle East, Eastern Europe, North America, and internationally.
Slight risk with moderate growth potential.
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