LSE:STOB

Stock Analysis Report

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Executive Summary

Stobart Group Limited operates in the aviation and energy business primarily in the United Kingdom, Europe, Ireland, and internationally. More Details


Snowflake Analysis

Overvalued with weak fundamentals.

Share Price & News

How has Stobart Group's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events

Stable Share Price: STOB's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months.


Market Performance


7 Day Return

-1.3%

STOB

13.8%

GB Airlines

0.07%

GB Market


1 Year Return

-84.6%

STOB

-66.2%

GB Airlines

-15.4%

GB Market

Return vs Industry: STOB underperformed the UK Airlines industry which returned -66.2% over the past year.

Return vs Market: STOB underperformed the UK Market which returned -15.4% over the past year.


Shareholder returns

STOBIndustryMarket
7 Day-1.3%13.8%0.07%
30 Day2.0%16.1%2.2%
90 Day-28.2%-25.0%-2.1%
1 Year-84.6%-84.6%-44.0%-66.2%-12.1%-15.4%
3 Year-92.2%-93.0%-43.1%-70.1%-8.4%-19.7%
5 Year-77.6%-82.4%-36.0%-68.4%16.4%-9.7%

Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is Stobart Group's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

Valuation

Is Stobart Group undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

0.7x

Price to Book (PB) ratio


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate STOB's fair value to establish if it is undervalued.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate STOB's fair value to establish if it is undervalued.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: STOB is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the XE Airlines industry average.

PE vs Market: STOB is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the UK market.


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate STOB's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: STOB is good value based on its PB Ratio (0.7x) compared to the GB Airlines industry average (1.6x).


Next Steps

Future Growth

How is Stobart Group forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 1 analyst?

-17.6%

Forecasted annual revenue growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: Insufficient data to determine if STOB's forecast earnings growth is above the savings rate (1.2%).

Earnings vs Market: Insufficient data to determine if STOB's earnings are forecast to grow faster than the UK market

High Growth Earnings: Insufficient data to determine if earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: STOB's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-17.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: STOB's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-17.6% per year).


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: STOB's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (2.6%).


Next Steps

Past Performance

How has Stobart Group performed over the past 5 years?

-39.5%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: STOB is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: STOB is currently unprofitable.


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: STOB is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 39.5% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare STOB's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: STOB is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Airlines industry (-18.4%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: STOB has a negative Return on Equity (-145.1%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Next Steps

Financial Health

How is Stobart Group's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: STOB's short term assets (£75.3M) do not cover its short term liabilities (£139.1M).

Long Term Liabilities: STOB's short term assets (£75.3M) do not cover its long term liabilities (£222.0M).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: STOB's debt to equity ratio (122.6%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: STOB's debt to equity ratio has increased from 0.2% to 122.6% over the past 5 years.


Balance Sheet


Cash Runway Analysis

For companies that have on average been loss making in the past we assess whether they have at least 1 year of cash runway.

Stable Cash Runway: STOB has less than a year of cash runway based on its current free cash flow.

Forecast Cash Runway: STOB has less than a year of cash runway if free cash flow continues to reduce at historical rates of 11.4% each year


Next Steps

Dividend

What is Stobart Group current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate STOB's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate STOB's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if STOB's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if STOB's dividend payments have been increasing.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: STOB is not paying a notable dividend for the UK market.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of STOB's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the UK market.


Next Steps

  • Explore strong dividend paying companies in the Transportation industry.

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

2.1yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Warwick Brady (56 yo)

3.33yrs

Tenure

UK£601,500

Compensation

Mr. Warwick Brady, MBA has been Chief Executive Officer and Director of Stobart Group Limited since July 1, 2017. Mr. Brady served as Deputy Chief Executive Officer of Stobart Group Limited from January 3, ...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Warwick's total compensation ($USD784.77K) is about average for companies of similar size in the UK market ($USD665.09K).

Compensation vs Earnings: Warwick's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.


Leadership Team

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Warwick Brady
CEO & Executive Director3.33yrsUK£601.50k0.065%
£ 78.8k
Lewis Girdwood
CFO & Executive Director1.5yrsUK£307.60k0.048%
£ 58.4k
Nicholas Dilworth
COO & Executive Director2.08yrsUK£345.60k0.026%
£ 31.8k
Charlie Geller
Head of Group Communicationsno datano datano data
Ben Whawell
Chief Executive Officer of Energy Divisionno dataUK£211.10kno data
Kirk Taylor
Managing Director of Stobart Rail & Civilsno datano datano data
Glyn Jones
Chief Executive Officer of Stobart Aviationno datano datano data
David Pickering
Chief Operating Officer of Eddie Stobart Logistics Ltdno datano datano data

2.1yrs

Average Tenure

51.5yo

Average Age

Experienced Management: STOB's management team is considered experienced (2.1 years average tenure).


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Warwick Brady
CEO & Executive Director3.33yrsUK£601.50k0.065%
£ 78.8k
Lewis Girdwood
CFO & Executive Director1.5yrsUK£307.60k0.048%
£ 58.4k
Nicholas Dilworth
COO & Executive Director2.08yrsUK£345.60k0.026%
£ 31.8k
John Coombs
Independent Non Executive Director6.25yrsUK£62.50k0.027%
£ 33.1k
David James Shearer
Non-Executive Chairman1.25yrsUK£150.00k0.082%
£ 99.7k
David Blackwood
Independent Non-Executive Director1.58yrsUK£58.30k0.027%
£ 33.0k
Clive Condie
Non-Executive Director0.25yrno data0.030%
£ 36.0k
Virginia Pulbrook
Independent Non-Executive Director2yrsUK£52.50k0.0028%
£ 3.4k

1.8yrs

Average Tenure

61yo

Average Age

Experienced Board: STOB's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 1.8 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: STOB insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year, with total shares outstanding growing by 68%.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Stobart Group Limited's company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Stobart Group Limited
  • Ticker: STOB
  • Exchange: LSE
  • Founded: 2002
  • Industry: Airlines
  • Sector: Transportation
  • Market Cap: UK£121.031m
  • Shares outstanding: 621.95m
  • Website: https://www.stobartgroup.co.uk

Number of Employees


Location

  • Stobart Group Limited
  • Trafalgar Court
  • Floor 2
  • Saint Peter Port
  • GY1 4LY
  • Guernsey

Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
STOBLSE (London Stock Exchange)YesOrdinary SharesGBGBPDec 2004
STOBLBATS-CHIXE (BATS 'Chi-X Europe')YesOrdinary SharesGBGBPDec 2004
1SJDB (Deutsche Boerse AG)YesOrdinary SharesDEEURDec 2004

Biography

Stobart Group Limited operates in the aviation and energy business primarily in the United Kingdom, Europe, Ireland, and internationally. It operates through Stobart Aviation, Stobart Energy, Stobart Rail ...


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2020/10/24 21:28
End of Day Share Price2020/10/23 00:00
Earnings2020/02/29
Annual Earnings2020/02/29


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.