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GOG

Go-Ahead GroupLSE:GOG Stock Report

Market Cap

UK£297.0m

7D

-6.4%

1Y

-15.5%

Updated

29 Nov, 2021

Data

Company Financials +
GOG fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth3/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health4/6
Dividends0/6

GOG Stock Overview

The Go-Ahead Group plc provides bus and rail passenger transportation services in the United Kingdom and internationally.

Go-Ahead Group Competitors

Norfolk Southern

NYSE:NSC

US$65.4b

Mitsui

TSE:8031

JP¥4.3t

MTR

SEHK:66

HK$260.1b

East Japan Railway

TSE:9020

JP¥2.6t

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Go-Ahead Group
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUK£6.82
52 Week HighUK£14.63
52 Week LowUK£6.79
Beta2.08
1 Month Change-13.12%
3 Month Change-27.68%
1 Year Change-15.49%
3 Year Change-58.47%
5 Year Change-67.68%
Change since IPO445.60%

Recent News & Updates

Jun 14
Is Go-Ahead Group (LON:GOG) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Go-Ahead Group (LON:GOG) Using Too Much Debt?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...

May 02
There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Go-Ahead Group's (LON:GOG) Returns On Capital

There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Go-Ahead Group's (LON:GOG) Returns On Capital

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? In a...

Apr 05
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of The Go-Ahead Group plc (LON:GOG)

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of The Go-Ahead Group plc (LON:GOG)

How far off is The Go-Ahead Group plc ( LON:GOG ) from its intrinsic value? Using the most recent financial data, we'll...

Shareholder Returns

GOGGB TransportationGB Market
7D-6.4%-3.6%-1.9%
1Y-15.5%25.2%13.8%

Return vs Industry: GOG underperformed the UK Transportation industry which returned 24.8% over the past year.

Return vs Market: GOG underperformed the UK Market which returned 11.6% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is GOG's price volatile compared to industry and market?
GOG volatility
GOG Average Weekly Movement8.8%
Transportation Industry Average Movement4.6%
Market Average Movement4.9%
10% most volatile stocks in GB Market9.7%
10% least volatile stocks in GB Market2.6%

Stable Share Price: GOG is more volatile than 75% of UK stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 9% a week.

Volatility Over Time: GOG's weekly volatility (9%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of UK stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
198730,000Christian Schreyerhttps://www.go-ahead.com

The Go-Ahead Group plc provides bus and rail passenger transportation services in the United Kingdom and internationally. It operates through three segments: Regional Bus, London & International Bus, and Rail. The company also offers rail replacement and other contracted services.

Go-Ahead Group Fundamentals Summary

How do Go-Ahead Group's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
GOG fundamental statistics
Market CapUK£296.99m
Earnings (TTM)-UK£46.10m
Revenue (TTM)UK£3.96b

0.1x

P/S Ratio

-6.4x

P/E Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
GOG income statement (TTM)
RevenueUK£3.96b
Cost of RevenueUK£2.67b
Gross ProfitUK£1.29b
ExpensesUK£1.33b
Earnings-UK£46.10m

Last Reported Earnings

Jan 02, 2021

Next Earnings Date

Dec 16, 2021

Earnings per share (EPS)-1.07
Gross Margin32.49%
Net Profit Margin-1.16%
Debt/Equity Ratio163.2%

How did GOG perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Valuation

Is Go-Ahead Group undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

30.3%

Undervalued compared to fair value


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: GOG (£6.82) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£9.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GOG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: GOG is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the UK Transportation industry average.

PE vs Market: GOG is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the UK market.


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GOG's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: GOG is overvalued based on its PB Ratio (1.4x) compared to the GB Transportation industry average (1.1x).


Future Growth

How is Go-Ahead Group forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 9 analysts?

46.1%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GOG is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (0.9%).

Earnings vs Market: GOG is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: GOG's is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: GOG's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-21.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GOG's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-21.5% per year).


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GOG's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (17.8%).


Past Performance

How has Go-Ahead Group performed over the past 5 years?

-32.1%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: GOG is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: GOG is currently unprofitable.


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: GOG is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 32.1% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare GOG's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: GOG is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Transportation industry (138.5%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: GOG has a negative Return on Equity (-13.05%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Financial Health

How is Go-Ahead Group's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: GOG's short term assets (£925.8M) do not cover its short term liabilities (£1.2B).

Long Term Liabilities: GOG's short term assets (£925.8M) exceed its long term liabilities (£595.1M).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: GOG has more cash than its total debt.

Reducing Debt: GOG's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 318.5% to 163.2% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: GOG's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (112.4%).

Interest Coverage: GOG's interest payments on its debt are not well covered by EBIT (2.3x coverage).


Balance Sheet


Dividend

What is Go-Ahead Group current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

9.04%

Forecast Dividend Yield


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate GOG's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate GOG's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if GOG's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if GOG's dividend payments have been increasing.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: GOG is not paying a notable dividend for the UK market.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of GOG's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the UK market.


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

7.2yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Christian Schreyer (53 yo)

no data

Tenure

Mr. Christian Schreyer has been the Group Chief Executive of The Go-Ahead Group plc since November 05, 2021. He served as the Chief Executive Officer and Member of the Management Board at DB Schenker Rail...


Leadership Team

Experienced Management: GOG's management team is seasoned and experienced (7.2 years average tenure).


Board Members

Experienced Board: GOG's board of directors are considered experienced (3.1 years average tenure).


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

The Go-Ahead Group plc's employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: The Go-Ahead Group plc
  • Ticker: GOG
  • Exchange: LSE
  • Founded: 1987
  • Industry: Railroads
  • Sector: Transportation
  • Market Cap: UK£296.993m
  • Shares outstanding: 42.95m
  • Website: https://www.go-ahead.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • The Go-Ahead Group plc
  • 4 Matthew Parker Street
  • Westminster
  • London
  • Greater London
  • SW1H 9NP
  • United Kingdom

Listings


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2021/11/29 22:50
End of Day Share Price2021/11/29 00:00
Earnings2021/01/02
Annual Earnings2020/06/27


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.