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Ayvens Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of ALDP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

ALDP (€7.32) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (€11.6)

Is ALDP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALDP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALDP (€7.32) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€11.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALDP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALDP?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for ALDP. This is calculated by dividing ALDP's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is ALDP's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	€5.42b

ALDP key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	16x
PEG Ratio	0.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ALDP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ALDP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	20.2x
ZIG Zigup	6.7x	-5.7%	UK£840.2m
IDS International Distribution Services	60.8x	49.5%	UK£3.3b
EZJ easyJet	10.7x	11.1%	UK£4.0b
GLTR Globaltrans Investment	2.4x	n/a	US$1.0b
ALDP Ayvens	7.7x	21.8%	€5.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALDP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.7x) compared to the peer average (19.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALDP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Transportation Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	23.9%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	23.9%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALDP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.7x) compared to the European Transportation industry average (11.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALDP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALDP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	7.7x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ALDP's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALDP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	n/a	€9.64 0%	24.7%	€12.50	€6.00	n/a	8
Sep ’25	n/a	€9.64 0%	24.7%	€12.50	€6.00	n/a	8
Aug ’25	n/a	€9.64 0%	24.7%	€12.50	€6.00	n/a	8
Jul ’25	n/a	€9.64 0%	24.7%	€12.50	€6.00	n/a	8
Jun ’25	€7.32	€9.64 +31.8%	24.7%	€12.50	€6.00	n/a	8
May ’25	n/a	€9.21 0%	26.8%	€12.50	€6.00	n/a	8
Apr ’25	n/a	€9.27 0%	25.8%	€12.50	€6.00	n/a	8
Mar ’25	n/a	€9.27 0%	25.8%	€12.50	€6.00	n/a	8
Feb ’25	n/a	€10.64 0%	29.2%	€15.00	€6.00	n/a	9
Jan ’25	n/a	€11.39 0%	31.6%	€17.00	€6.00	n/a	9
Dec ’24	n/a	€12.58 0%	39.0%	€22.00	€6.00	n/a	9
Nov ’24	n/a	€14.80 0%	27.3%	€22.00	€9.00	n/a	9
Oct ’24	€7.26	€15.27 +110.2%	25.5%	€22.00	€9.00	n/a	9
Sep ’24	n/a	€16.91 0%	17.7%	€22.00	€11.20	n/a	9
Aug ’24	n/a	€17.26 0%	15.5%	€22.00	€12.30	n/a	9
Jul ’24	n/a	€17.37 0%	16.2%	€22.00	€12.30	n/a	9
Jun ’24	€10.32	€18.00 +74.4%	12.7%	€22.00	€15.00	€7.32	8
May ’24	n/a	€18.13 0%	12.5%	€22.00	€15.00	n/a	8
Apr ’24	€10.26	€18.13 +76.7%	12.5%	€22.00	€15.00	n/a	8
Mar ’24	€12.46	€18.13 +45.5%	12.5%	€22.00	€15.00	n/a	8
Feb ’24	n/a	€18.39 0%	12.3%	€22.00	€16.00	n/a	6
Jan ’24	€10.77	€18.39 +70.7%	12.3%	€22.00	€16.00	n/a	6
Dec ’23	€9.42	€17.87 +89.7%	11.8%	€22.00	€16.00	n/a	5
Nov ’23	€11.07	€17.86 +61.3%	11.0%	€22.00	€16.00	n/a	7
Oct ’23	n/a	€17.17 0%	6.2%	€19.00	€16.00	€7.26	6
Sep ’23	n/a	€17.42 0%	6.7%	€19.00	€16.00	n/a	6

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.